Cuba Democracia y Vida

La voz en Suecia de los cubanos cívicos de intramuros y del exílio

Editor y Redactor: Guillermo Milán Reyes, Miembro del Instituto Nacional de Periodismo Latinoamericano (INPL)

For more publications in English
or Swedish click on respective
flag above

Cantidad de Visitantes: 58 491 130

Google


Enlaces :
DIARIO DE CUBA
INFOBAE
CUBANET

14 Y MEDIO. DIARIO HECHO EN CUBA.



CIBER CUBA.

WEB DE YOUTUBE DE LA UNIÓN PATRIÓTICA DE CUBA LAS GLORIOSAS FUERZAS PACÍFICAS UNPACU.

DIARIO LAS AMÉRICAS.COM



Observatorio Cubano de Derechos Humanos.
MEDICINA CUBANA
BUENAVISTA V CUBA WEBLOG
RELIGION EN REVOLUCION.
FOROFILO: Blog de Filosofía del Dr. Alberto Roteta Dorado.
PATRIA DE MARTÍ EN ESPAÑOL. DEL POLITÓLOGO Dr. Julio M. Shiling.
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCW8puy8WjMABrA7e7FUvG-A
CANAL EVTV
LA PATILLA. WEB VENEZOLANA DE NOTICIAS.









CUBITA NAO.
EL PITAZO
PANAM POST: NOTICIAS Y ANALISIS DE LAS AMERICAS.
DOLAR TODAY
EL NACIONAL. CARACAS VENEZUELA.
ABC.ES INTERNACIONAL
EL NUEVO HERALD
EL PAÍS
FORO ANTITOTALITARIO FANTU


 

Buena Vista V Cuba

Blog de Medic Cubana

Blog de Montaner

Blog Religión en Revolución

Blog Omni Zona Franca

Patria de Martí

Cuba Ind. y Democrática

Cubanet.org

Cuba 1952- 1959



The Failure of the Negotiations in Nicaragua with Ortega. By Carlos F. Chamorro. Confidencial/Havana Times.
  
09-04-2019

web/article.asp?artID=41544

The Failure of the Negotiations in Nicaragua with Ortega
By Carlos F. Chamorro  (Confidencial)
Havana Times
april 8, 2019

web/article.asp?artID=41544
Photo: Carlos Herrera / Confidencial

Paradoxically, this crisis presents the broad Blue and White Alliance with an opportunity to modify the balance of power with international support.

The negotiations between the Ortega-Murillo dictatorship and the Civic Alliance ended last Wednesday without any agreement on the two most important items on the national agenda, endorsed by hundreds of thousands of citizens during the April Rebellion: democratization and justice.

For the second time in just one year, President Daniel Ortega dug in his heels, relying on repression. He refused to accept an electoral and constitutional reform to convoke early elections to shorten his period of governing. He also stubbornly denied the petition for an independent investigation of the massacre of at least 327 persons, and that the perpetrators be brought to justice.

By torpedoing this latest attempt at a national dialogue with the goal of staying in power until after 2021, and thus guaranteeing impunity for crimes of lesser humanity, Ortega is provoking strong international condemnation that could accelerate the collapse of the economy and of his government.

When all is said and done, this could mean a new political and social dynamic, which will be nothing like the hoped for “soft landing,” and in which neither he nor anyone else will be able to control the conditions by which he exits from power.

According to the Central Bank, in 2018 the economy shrank by 3.8%. But without a political accord, economic projections for this year range from an 11 to a 20% shrinkage, with the loss of hundreds of thousands of jobs, a financial system on the verge of collapse, and the productive infrastructure for the agricultural cycle hanging by a thread for lack of financing.

In addition, the impact of diplomatic and economic sanctions that could go into effect in the coming months—the implementation of the already-approved NICA Act and the Executive Order of the US, new sanctions by the European Union, and the application of the OAS’ Democratic Charter—would leave the Ortega regime in a precarious situation economically with the potential for a serious social explosion.

Can Ortega, without oil subsidies from Maduro in Venezuela, stay in power for two more years in the middle of the collapse of the economy in both the public and private sectors, without resorting to another slaughter to stop social and political protest?

Can the oppressors keep killing indiscriminately while facing a civic movement that has demonstrated that it has an extraordinary reserve of political and moral resistance?

Will the Nicaraguan army remain on the sidelines, waiting as events spiral towards an extreme situation, or will it establish limits to stop the repression within the legal framework that mandates that the army disarm the paramilitaries?

These are all hypothetical questions regarding the worst possible national scenario, but we must try to answer them now to determine a course of alternative action. Because the leap into the unknown that Ortega has just taken could mean devastating human and economic costs for the country.

The demand for early elections is not only legal and constitutional, but it is also the only way to guarantee an orderly political solution, saving the country more pain and economic destruction. Since the slaughter, Ortega has not been able to govern or represent the Sandinista electorate before the nation, the private sector and the international community. He has been reduced to the role of administering and overseeing the economic and political interests of his family group, which also depends on the alliance with Cuba and Venezuela.

During his almost four decades leading the FSLN, Ortega never considered a changing of the guard or a political succession that was not controlled by his own family. After a long internal battle for power, in 2016 he agreed to put his wife Rosario Murillo in the line of succession as vice president. Since Murillo shares responsibility for the national crisis, she has already been disqualified as a candidate, which means she has the most to lose if presidential elections are moved up.

The failure of the national dialogue has been erroneously blamed on the government’s lack of “political will” to negotiate in “good faith” and to comply with agreements, as if Ortega was an ally or a statesman devoted to the public good.

The negotiators have forgotten that for a self-oriented regime, one responsible for the worst bloodbath in Nicaragua’s history, to reach agreements in a negotiation and to comply with them does not depend on “good will,” but on the balance of power. Ortega will never give up power the easy or fair way, unless he comes under maximum national and international pressure. Up until the present, he has been negotiating with a serious advantage in his favor.

First, he achieved his strategic goal of imposing a dialogue while continuing to hold political prisoners as hostages, censoring the press, and maintaining a police state that does not allow people to protest in the streets.

Despite the abysmal imbalance in negotiating conditions, the international community had hopes for this dialogue, and those expectations have given this isolated regime some breathing room. Meanwhile, in Venezuela Nicolas Maduro has managed to squelch the challenge posed by Juan Guaido through his political control of the country’s Armed Forces.

Contrary to the idea that Ortega “the pragmatist” is trying to strike some kind of deal with the United States before the Maduro regime totally collapses, the facts indicate that within the alliance between Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua, Ortega, the “Messiah,” has played the role of never giving in, as long as Maduro and Castro maintain absolute power.

In any case, the international community—the US, OAS, European Union and the United Nations—showed a serious lack of political judgement regarding the latest dialogue, when they adopted a “wait-and-see” strategy. In the meantime, Ortega won some time and wiggle room without agreeing to any concrete results.

At the last minute, the Civic Alliance dealt a devastating blow to the dictatorship by suspending the dialogue rather than accepting a “bad deal,” demonstrating that the only reason for the lack of agreements is the presidential couples’ iron grip on power.

Despite the failure of negotiations with Ortega, the Civic Alliance has preserved partial agreements on the liberation of political prisoners and the restoration of restricted public freedoms, which represent the basic precondition for a dialogue in conditions of equality with the dictatorship.

Paradoxically, from this crisis, the opportunity is being born for the Civic Alliance and the Blue and White National Unity movement to modify the balance of political power, by exerting civic pressure in the streets under the leadership of freed political prisoners, and with the support of international diplomacy.

The third and final opportunity for a dialogue on justice and democratization, with or without Ortega and Murillo, will only be possible “in the hot seat,” with maximum national and international pressure.

The building of a post-Ortega democracy in Nicaragua will depend on the political results of this negotiation, and the creation of a broad opposition coalition that can obtain a majority political mandate at the polls.

This coalition needs an unequivocal mandate that grants it the legitimacy to rebuild democracy through a total reform of the constitution and to convene the international community to create a program to provide massive financial assistance. The dictatorship’s repressive structures need to be dismantled today in order to rebuild Nicaragua and assure that the country is governable tomorrow.

 

 

Comentarios al artículo






 Get a new challenge


 
23-11-2022Ukraine VIDEO Radio Free Europe: A Harrowing Journey Under Fire To Evacuate Frontline Ukrainian Towns.
23-11-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: At least three killed in Kyiv by russian shelling, Lviv without power, half of the neighbouring Moldova without electricity after russian strikes in Ukraine. Air-raid alert in whole of Ukraine./Russian hospital strike.
16-11-2022Ukraine VIDEO:  U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, General Mark Milley speak after Ukraine meeting.
16-11-2022Ukraine VIDEO France 24: Civilians in Balakliya share chilling accounts of Russian atrocities .
16-11-2022Ukraine VIDEO: NATO Secretary General holds news Conference: "There is currently no indication that the incident in Poland was a deliberate attack. Investigation is ongoing."
14-11-2022 Ukraine VIDEOs:  Volodymyr Zelenskyy visits the newly retaken city of Kherson. /Analyst Michael Clarke: Kherson battle only half won.
13-11-2022Ukraine VIDEO Sky News: Tears of relief and joy in liberated Kherson.
11-11-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Celebrations as Ukraine retakes Kherson after 'chaotic' mass Russian retreat. / 'God Bless You': Residents Welcome Ukrainian Troops As They Advance Toward Kherson
09-11-2022Ukraine VIDEO Channel 4: Russia announces its imminent withdrawal from the southern Ukrainian city of Kherson.
29-10-2022VIDEO: Israel and Lebanon have signed an agreement laying out their maritime border for the first time. The U.S. brokered deal will enable both countries to explore for gas and oil offshore.
22-10-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Sky News: Residents leave Russian controlled city of Kherson. Writer and activist says that those evacuated are mostly russian militaries and their families and their colaborators. /Al Jazeera: Blackouts, Kherson residents evacuations.
20-10-2022Haiti VIDEO Al Jazeera: Can a foreign force restore order in Haiti?
19-10-2022Ukraine VIDEO Channel 4 News: Inside liberated Kherson as Putin declares marshall law in Russian occupied regions.
16-10-2022Ukraine VIDEOs Al Jazeera: Despite the fighting, Ukrainian civilians have begun returning to their destroyed homes in the Kherson region./ Ukraine farmers risk their lives to harvest crops near front lines in Southern Ukraine.
10-10-2022Ukraine VIDEO LIVE: UN General Assembly debates draft resolution condemning Russias annexations in Ukraine. Cuba votes with Russia in procedural votings. Meeting to be continued on October 12.
09-10-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Dozens killed and injured as Russian missiles strike Zaporizhzhia overnight. At least five private houses were destroyed and around 40 were damaged by the missile strikes.
08-10-2022Ukraine Videos: Security and Defence Analyst Michael Clarke: 'Special forces operation' may be behind Crimea bridge blast. Hundreds desperate to flee Crimea as traffic resumes after bridge blaze.
06-10-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Russian soldiers surrender to Ukrainian forces as Kherson fighting rages on. / Shredded uniforms and burned out military vehicles litter parts of Lyman in Ukraine after it was liberated.
04-10-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: The eastern Donetsk town of Lyman is a husk of its former self, pummelled to bits. By Sky News./  Dead Russian Soldiers litter roads around liberated Lyman. By Radio Free Europe.
02-10-2022Ukraine VIDEO Al Jazeera English: Ukraine declares full control of Lyman after Russian forces retreat.
01-10-2022Cuba VIDEOs Sky Star News and Al Jazeera English: Several Days of protests in Havana against the chronic incompetence of the regime to manage electricity, water and food supply. People are shouting 'Freedom' and 'turn on the lights'.
01-10-2022Ukraine VIDEOs Sky News: Ukrainian POW reveals torment at hands of Russians. / Deadly missile attack in Zaporizhizhia kills 30 people.
28-09-2022Ukraine War Sky News videos: Professor Michael Clarke: "The crisis has come to the the Baltic". "It's clearly an act of sabotage"
23-09-2022Ukraine VIDEO Channel 4: Protests build as Russia serve call up papers to Ukraine frontline.
22-09-2022Ukraine VIDEO: Channel 4 report: Inside the devastated Ukrainian town freed from the Russians.
12-09-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Ukraine celebrates as Russia forced to retreat after rapid counteroffensive. /Russian artillery litters the fields in areas of the Kharkiv region that Ukrainian troops have taken back.
10-09-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Ukraine make key strategic gains against weak Russia defence./Moscow deputies demand Putin's resignation. Intercepted call: Russians are retreating on foot.
10-09-2022Ukraine VIDEO: Russian invaders turn area around Ukraine nuclear plant into combat zone.
02-09-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: IAEA chief press conference after returning from Zaporizhzhia plant.UN inspectors say Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant violated amid heavy shelling. Zelenskiy accuses Russia of 'radiation blackmail' after shelling near Zaporizhzhia plant.
21-08-2022Nicaragua VIDEO Al Jazeera English: Police in Nicaragua arrested the Catholic bishop Rolando Alvarez. This is part of a wider crackdown on the catholic church. 
21-08-2022Ukraine VIDEOs Al Jazeera English: Can a nuclear disaster at Zaporizhzhia be averted? - Inside Story./UN chief Antonio Guterres: "Military equipment and personnel should be withdrawn from the plant. The area needs to be demilitarized."
03-07-2022Ukraine VIDEOs Sky News: Russia says it controls Lysychansk. Victory would mean Russia was a step closer to taking the whole Donbas region. 'This is the hell that's Lysychansk'.
01-07-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Inside the surrounded city of Lysychansk. /The aftermath of a Russian strike on Odesa, which has killed at least 18 people./ Russia forced to abandon Snake Island after Ukrainian bombardment.
28-06-2022Ukraine Videos: Immediate aftermath of Ukrainian mall strike: 'Is anyone alive?' / Survivor tells of shopping mall horror as missile struck in Kremenchuk.
26-06-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Russia attacks Kyiv striking two residential Buildings. / Sievierodonetsk falls to Russia./  Russian rockets hit buildings in downtown Kharkiv. / Widespread destruction to civilian homes in Kharkiv after Russian attacks.
14-06-2022Belarus VIDEO Radio Free Europe: After Hiding 21 Months At Swedish Embassy, Belarusian Father, Son Escape Minsk.
10-06-2022Ukraine VIDEOs:  Two British and one Moroccan fighters sentenced to death by Russian proxy Court in Donetsk. Who are the two British men facing the death penalty?
30-05-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Sky News' Defence and Security Analyst Prof. Michael Clarke examines ongoing Russian efforts to seize the Donbas region./Two intercepted phone calls by Russian Soldiers./ Donbas Evacuees Arriving In Lviv.
03-05-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: 'You will win': Standing ovation for Boris Johnson after address to Ukraine parliament. / 'Hes' given us hope', Ukrainian town to rename street in honour of Boris Johnson.
02-05-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Israel says Lavrov's Hitler remarks unforgivable, after he claimed Hitler "had Jewish origin". / Russian state TV threatens nuclear strike on UK and warns of radioactive tidal wave.
09-04-2022Ukraine VIDEO: EU chief promises speedy start for Ukraines membership at meeting in Kyiv.
02-04-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: The Last One To Leave: Ukrainian Troops Evacuate Elderly Man From Abandoned Neighborhood./'People Are Being Torn To Pieces': Inside The Liberated Kyiv Suburb Of Irpin.  
01-04-2022Ukraine VIDEOS: All Russians left Chernobyl: Ukraine defunct nuclear plant. / Ukraine accused of launching airstrike on Russian territory on an oil depot in Beograd, until now not confirmed or denied by Ukraine.
29-03-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Ukraine forces take back Trostyanets left in ruins./ The eastern Ukrainian city of Avdiyivka after shelling. ./Sky News looking at the war map./Captured Russian military hardware./Ukrainian soldiers about the russian enemy.
26-03-2022Ukraine VIDEOs: Residents of Slavutych near Chernobyl protest against russian occupation of the city. Gunfire and the sounds of explosions. / Kyiv hospital./Lviv outskirts attacked.
25-03-2022Ukraine VIDEOS: Relentless bombardment of Kharkiv./ Civilians leaving the city of Chernihiv are under constant heavy fire.
09-03-2022US - Venezuela - Ukraine VIDEO: Sen Rubio Discusses Venezuela & the Ukraine Invasion at Senate Foreign Relations Committee Hearing with Under Secretary of State Victoria Nuland.
24-02-2022Ukraine VIDEOS: Full scale russian military attack on Ukraine. 'We will defend ourselves', says Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy, who introduces martial law in Ukraine as sirens blare in Kyiv. Zelenskiy calls on citizens to take up arms.
19-07-2021Prisoners Defenders alerts that the demonstrators in Cuba of 11 July will face summary trials without due process.
25-06-2021US Senate VIDEO: Ted Cruz Celebrates Failure Of Democrats Voting Reform Bill In Senate.





Editores y Redactore: 
Guillermo Milán


 Colaboradores:

Julio M. Shiling

Lcdo. Sergio Ramos

Carlos

Referencia en línea
Diccionario, enciclopedia y más
Palabra:
Buscar en:
Diccionario de español
Diccionario de inglés
Diccionario de alemán
Diccionario de francés
Diccionario de italiano
Diccionario de árabe
Diccionario de chino (S)
Diccionario de polaco
Diccionario de portugués
Diccionario de holandés
Diccionario de noruego
Diccionario de griego
Diccionario de ruso
Diccionario de turco
Sólo en inglés:


  
 

Canal YouTube
de CDV.ORG
CANAL YOU TUBE DE CubaDemocracia y Vida.org


 

 
PRESOS POLITICOS
 
 
 
              MÉDICO ESCRITOR             
         Dr. Eloy A. González.     
NUEVO LIBRO:
"Una Patria atesorada
para muchos y

perdida para otros
"  

MÉDICO ESCRITOR Dr. Eloy A. González. NUEVO LIBRO:  “Una Patria atesorada para muchos y perdida para otros”
 MÉDICO ESCRITOR Dr. Eloy A. González. NUEVO LIBRO:  “Una Patria atesorada para muchos y perdida para otros”
 
 Cuba: Derechos Humanos.
DERECHOS HUMANOS : HUMAN RIGHTS

CUBA:
REPRESORES CUBANOS.
ESBIRROS CASTRISTAS
Cuba: PÁGINA PARA REGISTRAR A LOS REPRESORES O ESBIRROS DE LA TIRANÍA DE LOS CASTRO.

 Cuba: Represión.
REPRESIÓN EN CUBA

Videos de UNPACU
CUBANOS DE A PIE OPINAN. VIDEOS REALIZADOS POR LA GLORIOSA UNPACU:

Noticias sobre Venezuela:
TODO SOBRE VENEZUELA.

 Sobre el Mártir Oswaldo Payá:
OSWALDO PAYA SARDIÑAS: NOTAS DE PRENSA, DOCUMENTOS, VIDEOS, NOTICIAS.

Sobre Orlando Zapata.
ORLANDO ZAPATA TAMAYO. MÁRTIR DE CUBA. VIDEOS, ARTÍCULOS, OPINIONES, DOCUMENTOS Y NOTICIAS.

Cuba: Damas de Blanco.
DAMAS DE BLANCO

Canal VIMEO de CDV.ORG
 Canal VIMEO de CubaDemocraciayVida.org
  MÉDICO Y ESCRITOR ELOY A. 
  GONZÁLEZ:
NUEVO LIBRO:       
 “Una Patria atesorada para  
muchos y perdida para otros”
MÉDICO Y ESCRITOR ELOY A. GONZÁLEZ: EXCELENTE NUEVO LIBRO:  “Una Patria atesorada para muchos  y perdida para otros”
MÉDICO Y ESCRITOR ELOY A. GONZÁLEZ: EXCELENTE NUEVO LIBRO:  “Una Patria atesorada para muchos  y perdida para otros”

 

Haga Click en la imagen abajo para
comprar este excelente libro del
Escritor, e
Ingeniero Químico
Roberto L. Capote Castillo.

 Nuevo Libro N° 48: "Desde las orillas del Sena". Tomo XXVII. Serie “Cartas a Ofelia”. Por Félix José Hernández.

BIBLIOCUBA:  Crónicas coleccionables. Libros “Cartas a Ofelia” . Félix José Hernández

NUEVO LIBRO DEL ABOGADO Faisel Iglesias: "DOLOR Y PERDON" LA HISTORIA DE LA MUSICA CUBANA A TRAVÉS DE BENNY MORE (En español)

 Libro: "ASÍ  SE VOTA EN CUBA": Cuba es una pequeña Corea del Norte. Dijo el autor del libro Leandro Querido.

Haga CLIC AQUÍ
para comprar el libro
en la editorial de origen
.
 

ESCRITOR ELOY A. GONZÁLEZ:
NUEVO LIBRO:
Notas sobre
la religiosidad del
cubano bajo una
dictadura  prolongada.
CLICK LA IMAGEN DEBAJO

NUEVO LIBRO DE ELOY A. GONZÁLEZ: Notas sobre la religiosidad del cubano bajo una dictadura prolongada.

La Habana bien
vale unos Títulos
Por el Dr. Eloy A González.
CLICK  LA IMAGEN DEBAJO
“La Habana bien vale unos Títulos”. Una selección de artículos sobre Salud, Medicina y Educación Médica en Cuba. Por el Dr. Eloy A. González.

  Click debajo y Compre
este
hermoso libro
de Manolo Pozo.
"Aurora-Poesía": Nuevo libro de Manolo Pozo. Escritor, Periodista Independiente, fue durante 14 años columnista del periódico "20 de Mayo", Ex-Prisionero Político cubano y Miembro del Nuevo Presidio Político Plantado.

 MOVIMIENTO CRISTIANO LIBERACION
EL BLOG DE DANILO MALDONADO, "EL SEXTO".
RADIO REPÚBLICA CUBA
ATeVe
ICLEP: INSTITUTO CUBANO POR LA LIBERTAD DE EXPRESIÓN Y PRENSA.
YUSNABY POST.
CUBANOS DE ADENTRO Y DE ABAJO
PUENTE DEMOCRATICO
VIDEOS DESDE CUBA: CRIOLLO "LBERAL".
PRO CUBA LIBRE
NEO CLUB
ARCHIVO CUBA
LIBERTAD DIGITAL
TELEVISIÓN ESPAÑOLA EN VIVO. TRES CANALES EN DIRECTO: CANAL 24H, CANAL 1 DE LA TVE Y CANAL DE DEPORTE.
BLOG DEL DR. MICHAEL LARRONDO: Médicos Disidentes sin Censura.
 



Content Management System SimpleCMS

©2005-2022 Cuba Democracia y Vida.
E-mail: info@cubademocraciayvida.org